The first question in any serious investigation is who benefits and who loses from the destruction of lives and oil production?
The US is a clear winner on several crucial fronts.
Via the economic losses to the Venezuelan economy ~ 2.5 million barrels in the first 5 days and counting ~ the loss will put a dent on social spending and delay productive investments which in turn are key electoral appeals of the Chavez presidency.SECONDLYOn cue the US joined by its client candidate,Henrique Capriles Radonski, immediately launched a propaganda blitz aimed at discrediting the government and calling into question its capacity to ensure the security and safety of its citizens and the principle source of the country’s wealth.THIRDLY,The explosion creates insecurity and fear among sectors of the electorate and could influence their voting in the October presidential election.FOURTHLY,The US can test the effectiveness of a wider destabilization campaign and the government’s capacity to respond to any further security threats.
According to official government documents the US has Special Forces operations in over seventy-five countries, including Venezuela, which is targeted because of an adversarial relation.
This means that the US has operative clandestine highly trained operatives on the ground in Venezuela.
The capture of a US Marine for illegal entry in Venezuela with prior experience in war zones in Iraq and Afghanistan is indicative.
The US has a history of involvement in violent destabilization activity in Venezuela ~ backing the military coup of 2002 and the bosses’ lockout in the petroleum industry in 2003. The US targeting of the oil industry involved sabotage of the computerized system and efforts to degrade the refineries.
The US has a history of sabotage and violence against incumbent adversarial regimes. In Cuba during 1960, the CIA torched a department store and sugar plantations, and planted bombs in the downtown tourist centers ~ aiming to undermine strategic sectors of the economy.In Chile following the election of Socialist Salvador Allende, a CIA backed right-wing group kidnapped and assassinated the military attaché of Socialist President, in an effort to provoke a military coup.Similarly in Jamaica in the late 1970’s under democratic socialist President Manley, the CIA facilitated a violent destabilization campaign in the run-up to the elections.Sabotage and destabilization is a common weapon in the face of impending electoral defeats (as is the case in Venezuela) or where a popular government is firmly entrenched.
Force, violence and destabilization campaigns against incumbent regimes have become common operation procedure in current US policy.The US has financed and armed terrorist groups in Libya, Syria, Lebanon, Iran and Chechnya; it is bombing Pakistan, Yemen, Somalia and Afghanistan.In other words US foreign policy is highly militarized and opposed to any negotiated diplomatic resolution of conflicts with adversarial regimes.Sabotaging Venezuela’s oil refineries is within the logic and practice of current global US foreign policy.
Domestic politics in the US has taken a further turn to the far right in both domestic and foreign policy. The Republican Party has accused the Democrats of pandering to Iran, Venezuela, Cuba and Syria ~ of not going to war.
With a little more than a month left before the elections, and President Chavez is showing a 20 percentage point advantage; the economy is on track for a steady recovery; social housing and welfare programs are consolidating massive low income support or over 80%;
What these facts indicate is that Washington has no chance of defeating Chavez electorally; it has no possibility of using its Latin neighbors as a springboard for territorial incursions or precipitating a war for regime change; and it has no chance of imposing an economic boycott.
Washington, by revealing its resort to clandestine terror, represents a clear and present danger to Venezuela’s constitutional order, an immediate threat to the life blood of its economy and of the democratic electoral process.
Public weaknessin the face of imperial belligerenceonly encourages further aggression.