April 1, 2012
This is how the 41st general election should’ve turned out if we didn’t have numerous voting irregularities and without the effects of robo-calling [source] in each of the affected ridings.
THERE WOULD NOT BEA CONSERVATIVE MAJORITY GOVERNMENT.
Factoring in all of the reported incidences of robo-calling and its effects at the individual poll level, combined with other voting irregularities in certain ridings; it is clear that the Liberal Party was the biggest victim, losing 14 seats it shouldn’t have.
The 18 seats the Conservative Party shouldn’t have won gave them the majority government they so desperately sought.
EKOS (and especially pollster Frank Graves) was severely criticized and maligned after the election for his (at the time, incorrect) seat projections. Turns out he was much closer to what should’ve been the actual outcome than most people will give him credit for. He was well within the margin of error. Frank and EKOS were right all along ~ their prediction models saw this coming before it even happened. Kudos.